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Is my equity worth anything?Are my startup stock options actually worth anything?
The honest answer: sometimes a lot, often far less than the headline, and occasionally nothing — but it is knowable, not mystical. Here's how to work out where your options really sit, without the hype.
Start with the spread
An option is the right to buy a share at a fixed strike price. Its most basic value today is the spread: the current share value minus your strike, times the number you've vested. If the current 409A / last-round price is $10 and your strike is $2, each vested option has about $8 of intrinsic value on paper. If your strike is above the current price, the options are "underwater" and worth nothing to exercise right now.
That's the starting point — but for a private company it's only the start, because four things quietly change what you'd actually receive.
The four things that quietly reduce it
1. Dilution. Every new funding round issues new shares, so your percentage shrinks. A 0.5% stake can become 0.3% over a couple of rounds. Value the stake as a percentage of the fully-diluted company, and re-check it after each round — not the grant-day number. Our dilution calculator shows the effect.
2. Liquidation preferences. Investors usually hold preferred shares that get paid back first (often 1x their money, sometimes more) before common shareholders — you — see anything. In a modest exit, the preference stack can absorb most or all of the proceeds, leaving common with little. This is the single most overlooked reason "valuable" equity pays out less than expected.
3. Tax and exercise cost. To turn options into sellable shares you usually have to exercise — pay the strike in cash — and exercising can trigger tax (in the US, AMT on ISOs) before you have any cash back. That cost is real and comes first. See what it costs to exercise.
4. Illiquidity. Private shares can't be sold on demand. Even when they have paper value, turning that into cash needs a buyer and usually the company's approval — see where to find a buyer.
How to sanity-check the number
Take your vested options, apply the current price-per-share, subtract the exercise cost and estimated tax, haircut for dilution to come, and remember common sits behind the preference stack. What's left is a realistic range, not a single figure. If the only way the number looks big is by assuming a best-case IPO with no dilution and no preferences, treat that as a red flag, not a valuation.
Put a real number on it
The free valuation estimator gives you a range in seconds; the equity toolkit turns it into a proper assessment — dilution, preferences, exercise cost and tax — so you know whether your options are worth acting on.
See the equity toolkit →Want it on your own numbers? The Personalized Equity Report models your specific grant end to end.
Questions people ask
Can startup stock options really be worth nothing?
How do I estimate what my options are worth?
Should I exercise to capture the value?
Read next
- How much are my startup shares worth?
- What it costs to exercise your options
- What discount is fair when you sell?
- Where to find a buyer for your shares
- What every founder & employee should know
General information only — not financial, tax or legal advice, and not specific to your situation. Check your own equity documents and take local professional advice. PrivateTechShares is an education and tools service: it is not a broker or marketplace, does not introduce buyers and sellers, does not hold funds, and does not execute or advise on transactions.